First poll for the May presidential elections after candidacy registrations

By Romania Journal Last updated Mar 17, 2025

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The candidate of the self-proclaimed sovereignist movement, whether it be George Simion or Anamaria Gavrilă, would win the first round of the presidential elections, according to data from an opinion poll conducted between March 13-15, 2025 by the AtlasIntel institute and obtained by Hotnews. However, in the second round, the situation would reverse.

According to the research, in the first round, George Simion would obtain 30.4% of the votes, followed by the current mayor of the capital, Nicușor Dan, with 26% and the joint candidate of PSD-PNL-UDMR, Crin Antonescu, with 17.9%.

Independent Victor Ponta would obtain 9%, while USR’s representative, Elena Lasconi, is credited with only 3.9%.

According to AtlasIntel data, 79.3% of Călin Georgescu’s voters go to George Simion, while 5.7% opt for Victor Ponta. The rest don’t know, don’t vote or go to other candidates.

In the scenario where Anamaria Gavrilă would be the sole candidate of the sovereignists, she would obtain 30.2% of the votes, followed by Nicușor Dan, with 25.3%, Crin Antonescu – 17.7%, Victor Ponta – 9.2%, Elena Lasconi – 3.9%, while another candidate would obtain 3.4%. Independent Daniel Funeriu also appears in the measurement, being credited with 2.5%. In the case of Anamaria Gavrilă, 80.5% of Călin Georgescu’s voters go to her, 6.4% to Victor Ponta, the rest to other candidates or do not vote.

The AtlasIntel poll also offers several options for the second round. And in all of them, Nicușor Dan would get the most votes, regardless of the opponent. The only things that change are the difference in votes and the number of those who do not know who they would vote for, do not vote or cancel their vote.

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