INSCOP: Almost half of Romanians do not want the elections to be combined

Which is the most important ballot in their view?

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Almost half of Romanians (49.4%) believe that the 2024 elections should be organized separately, while 46.6% are in favor of combining some of the ballots, according to the data of a survey conducted by INSCOP commissioned by News.ro.

Combining the first round of presidential elections with parliamentary elections has the most supporters, 82.9%. The percentage of those who believe that the first round of the presidential elections should be held simultaneously with the local elections is 78%. Over 42% of those surveyed believe that the presidential elections are the most important this year, and 20.4% believe that the local elections are the most important. The European Parliament elections are considered the most important by 4.7% of the respondents. Almost 12% of them say that all polls are equally important.

Presidential election, the most important

Asked what, for them, are the most important elections that will be organized in 2024, 42.3% of respondents indicate the presidential elections, 20.4% the local elections, 18.1% the parliamentary elections, and 4.7% the elections for the European Parliament. 11.9% say that all are equally important, 1.8% that none is important, and 0.8% do not know or do not answer.

PSD and PNL voters, people under the age of 45, those with a lower level of education, blue or gray collar workers, residents of Bucharest and large urban areas attach the greatest importance to the presidential elections.

People aged between 45 and 60, the inactive potentially active, the inhabitants of small towns declare in a higher proportion than the other population categories that local elections are the most important for them.

Voters of the United Right Alliance, those with higher education, white-collar workers, residents of Bucharest, and those with a higher income tend to attach more importance to parliamentary elections than other categories of the population.

In the opinion of 49.4% of Romanians, the 2024 elections should be organized separately, not to mix with each other. On the other hand, 46.6% are of the opinion that some of the 2024 elections should be combined (held simultaneously). 4% do not know or do not answer this question.

78% of those who are in favor of merging the elections would agree that the first round of the presidential elections should take place at the same time as the local elections. 21.3% would not agree, and 0.7% do not know or do not answer.

Passive idlers, blue-collar workers and those without social media accounts tend to agree more than the rest of the population that the first round of presidential elections should be held at the same time as local elections.

Which election to be combined?

Combined parliamentary elections with the first round of the presidential elections 82.9% of those who are in favor of combining the elections would agree that the first round of the presidential elections should take place at the same time as the parliamentary elections. 15.5% would not agree, and 1.6% do not know or do not answer. They would agree that the first round of the presidential elections should take place at the same time as the parliamentary elections, especially people aged between 30 and 45, those with a higher level of education, white-collar workers, state employees.

“The presidential elections are seen by the population as the most important of the four polls that will be organized in 2024, which is why the presidential competition will strongly influence the electoral dynamics for the other polls. In the context of the public debate regarding the amalgamation of elections and the different opinions expressed in the public space, the opinions of the population are divided, approximately half supporting the idea of merging, and the other half opting for separately organized elections. Last year, the share of those who supported merger was significantly higher than those who preferred separate elections. INSCOP Research tested two merger scenarios – parliamentary with presidential and local with presidential. At the time of data collection, the hypothesis of coupling the local elections with the presidential ones had not appeared in the public space. Among those who prefer merging, the vast majority, around 80%, agree either with a coupling of parliamentary elections with the first round of presidential elections, as we had until 2004, or with a coupling of local elections with the first round of presidential elections . The very high percentage suggests that those who agree with a merging of elections would support any scenario of simultaneous organization of elections”, says Remus Ştefureac, director of INSCOP Research.

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