For the first time in the 4th wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the vaccination rate exceeded the infection rate

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For the first time in the 4th wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, in the past weekend the vaccination rate exceeded the infection rate, and if vaccination continues at the average rate of the last seven days, at the end of December Romania will have 10 million of people vaccinated with the first dose and, in March next year, 15 million, says epidemiologist Octavian Jurma.

More than 400,000 Romanians have been vaccinated with the first dose of COVID vaccine in the last week and queues have formed in some vaccination centers, which have been empty for months and some have closed. Epidemiologist Octavian Jurma says that the increase in the vaccination rate continued to be the positive news of this weekend, and if vaccination continues at the average rate of the last 7 days (62,400 doses 1 per day) then the target of 10 million people vaccinated with the first dose (52% of the resident population) will be reached on December 29, 2021. At the same time the target of 15 million people vaccinated with the first dose (78% of the resident population) will be reached on March 19, 2022.

“The average number of new cases confirmed in the last 7 days was 15,000, which corresponds (at a real infection rate of at least 1: 5) to a minimum of 75,000 new infections per day. The pandemic is still moving at a faster rate than vaccination, but over the weekend the vaccination rate exceeded the rate of infection for the first time in the Delta 4 wave. Ignoring the consequences of the disease, both infection and vaccination decrease the number of people susceptible to infection through vaccination“, said Jurma.

According to the epidemiologist, if vaccination continues at this pace, in 2 weeks the rate of decline of the recently unimmunized population will double. This phenomenon will accentuate the exit speed from the 4-Delta wave and will shorten the plateau period that seems to be settling these days.

“Against this background, I recommend people that they take booster dose 2 (3rd dose or 2nd booster), because the statistics from Israel show that the infection rate decreases dramatically among those with the 3rd dose compared to those vaccinated people with the complete scheme 6 months ago.The only unknown on the battlefield with pandemic now remains the political response that inhibited a promising start of the vaccination campaign before and then took measures that stimulated the infection rate,” says epidemiologist Octavian Jurma.

The coordinator of the national vaccination campaign, Valeriu Gheorghiţă announced on Sunday evening that over 360,000 doses of vaccine have been administered in the past 72 hours alone, and that at this moment, in Romania, over 40% of the adult population has been vaccinated. Gheorghiţă called on medical universities to organize vaccination marathons in big cities and specified that such a marathon will take place in Bucharest every weekend, until the end of the year.

Since the beginning of the vaccination campaign in Romania, on December 27, 2020, 6,417,484 people have been vaccinated against COVID – 5,920,032 with a two-dose schedule, and 706,622 have also received a third dose.

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